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WealthCycles Commentary
Things are probably going to get much worse before they get better, veteran investor Jim Rogers tells CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo in a broadcast interview last December. Why? Because, as Rogers so succinctly states it, “the problem of too much debt is not solved with more debt.” So simple, so profound…
Rogers, co-founder of the global-investment partnership Quantum Fund, is a pretty smart cookie. In its first 10 years Quantum Fund’s portfolio gained 4200% compared to the S&P’s gain of some 50% in the same period. Rogers then retired at age 37.
Rogers in December expressed skepticism about recent market increases and thinks there may even be a depression on the horizon for 2013. “In 2002 we had a problem; 2008 was worse because the debt was higher. 2013, or whenever the next one is, is going to be worse still, because the debt is going through the roof…. We’re shooting all our bullets; we’re wasting money.”
The United States, Rogers points out, is in worse shape than Europe in terms of debts.”The U.S. as a whole is the largest debtor nation in the world, and we have bankrupt states—New York, Illinois, California. In Europe, the whole thing is not a debtor nation; they’re solvent. They’ve got individual countries, Ireland, Greece, etc., that are bankrupt, but no, they’re in much better shape than we are….”
European promises to do better serve to “make us feel better for a while,” Rogers allows. “But eventually a month, six weeks, two, three months from now, people are gonna say, ‘Hey, wait a minute, we’re back where we were. Things are worse than they were before.”
For the time being, Rogers is just sitting and watching, he says. He currently owns some currencies—dollars, euros, Swiss francs, Japanese yen—is short U.S. tech stocks, short emerging markets, short European stocks… and long commodities.
“And Maria,” Rogers goes on, “when things don’t get better, they’re gonna print a lot more money. And when they print money, you have to own silver, you have to own rice, you have to own real things in order to survive.”
Rogers, who called the rise in gold prices long ago, said he believes gold and silver prices may “rest and consolidate” for a time before climbing. “If I had to buy one, gold and silver, I’d buy silver because silver’s depressed, that’s all. But I hope gold and silver continue to rest and consolidate so that I can buy more, so I can buy a lot more.”
The entire 6-minute clip is worth watching for more Rogers’ gems, like his take on the MF Global scandal…. “outrageous.”
The True Market Value Of Voluntary Exchange
Video - May 16th, 2012You’re in a group of 10 friends, who take a vote on whether or not you should beat up George to get him to pony up some dough for Oliver’s kids’ lessons. The vote is 6-4 to beat George up. Are you okay with it now?
Smart Money Says COMEX Can’t Back Its Gold Contracts
Video - May 9th, 2012Kyle to COMEX: “What if 4% of the people want delivery?” COMEX:” That never happens…” And if it does? “Price will solve everything.”
Compulsory Unemployment Laws
Video - May 2nd, 2012Minimum wage laws may mean employing low-skilled workers no longer pencils out for business owners. Companies may automate or move operations off-shore, resulting in job losses and higher unemployment.
Bernanke’s Mortgage Meltdown Miss Creates Credibility Gap
Video - April 25th, 2012CNBC interviews and Bernanke testimony dating from 2005 reveal either that Bernanke didn’t have a clue about the disaster that lay a few short months ahead, or someone frighteningly practiced at bureaucratic denial.
Party At the Fed
Video - April 18th, 2012Alone in his hotel room, Austrian-school economist F. A. Hayek pulls open the night-stand drawer to find, not a Gideon Bible, but a copy of Keynes’ The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money.
Hidden Language in CISPA Interprets Desire for Privacy As Threat
Video - April 11th, 2012One of the greatest concerns about the proposed CISPA cyber-security law is language that goes beyond foreign or terrorist cyber-attacks and could outlaw whistle blowers or otherwise impinge upon First Amendment rights.
Using Jobs to Justify Destruction
Video - April 4th, 2012The window-breaker has stimulated the economy. Imagine how many more jobs would have been created if he or she had burned down the house and destroyed the town.
Anime-Style Video Offers “Bearish” Explanation of Quantitative Easing
Video - March 28th, 2012Film-maker uses computerized, monotone voices and anime-styled bears to explain the inexplicable: ‘The Ben Bernank’s’ rise to power and the Fed’s collusion with Goldman Sachs to rob American taxpayers.
Irish Protest Eurozone Bullying
Video - March 21st, 2012Unfortunately the Irish government’s proposal to restructure its debt is to trade in short-term bonds for 30- to 40-year paper, thus expanding the fiat currency supply while disguising the expansion of the central bank’s balance sheet.
Voice From the Past
Video - March 14th, 2012There is nothing subtle about the video’s message: Roosevelt’s New Deal ushered in our “master planned” modern society.
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Video: The First Lessons
How early struggles with a learning disability impacted the formative years of a financial prodigy.
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Video: An Entrepreneur is Born
Mike's youthful business ventures provided life lessons you don't get in school, including his first tough experiences with economic cycles.
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Video: So Much for Experts
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Video: The Power of Knowledge
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Video: Why I Sleep Well
Those who invest in precious metals at the right time in the cycle can safeguard their wealth in the chaotic economic times ahead.
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Video: The House Always Wins
Investing in certificates, pools, exchange-traded funds is not the same as owning physical silver and gold.
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Video: Our World Today
Despite efforts by government and the financial establishment to intervene in natural cycles, the writing on the wall is clear.
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Video: Coming Out the Other Side
Those invested on the right side of the cycle stand to benefit from the greatest wealth transfer in history.
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awesome! Love that line "Debt is not the solution for too much debt" haha! speaking sense...nobody who's in charge is listening though I'm thinking.
George (NZ)
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